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خرید ریپورت Turkey Oil and Gas Report Q4 2019
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Turkey Oil & Gas Q4 2019
67 Pages
October, 2019
Publisher : BMI Research
لینک:
https://www.marketresearch.com/Business-Monitor-International-v304/Turkey-Oil-Gas-Q4-12689725/
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درباره ریپورت Turkey Oil & Gas Q4 2019
Turkey’s tourism industry continues to strengthen and, in light of this, we have made slight upward revisions to ouralready-strong forecast for tourist arrivals in Turkey over the short-to-medium term. The country’s expanding portfolio of attractionsand identity as a value-for-money hot spot will continue attracting a growing number of tourists. Downside risks remain, however, asthe country continues to make waves in the region.
Latest Updates And Key Forecasts
Tensions have risen significantly through the middle of 2019, as Turkey presses on with proposed exploration in the Cypriot EEZ. A miscalculation by Turkish naval vessels or the discovery of a hydrocarbon resource would significantly heighten regional political and security risk.
Valuera Energy has completed drilling at the Inanli-1 well and the Devepinar-1 well in January and April 2019 respectively. The company’s focus for Q2 and Q3 2019 activities will now be on testing the flow potential of the long indicated gas columns intersected in its new wells.
Based on the positive flow results from the first test, Valeura and its partner Equinor decided to add an additional test zone to the Inanli-1 work programme in September 2019.
Significantly higher natural gas prices for industrial and residential consumers will result in a sharp slowdown in gas demand in Turkey in the short term. Almost complete reliance on foreign imported gas, which is priced in US dollars, and the collapse in the Turkish lira through 2018 have significantly increased the cost of importing natural gas into the country. The cost is gradually being passed on to the consumer.
First commercial production from the STAR refinery has been delayed to 2019. Full production capacity is not expected until late-2019. We expect a robust increase in refined fuel production over the back end of 2019, specifically in distillate and jet fuel production.
The sharp depreciation of the lira has increased the country’s energy bill significantly. This has raised refined fuel prices in the country and will act as a severe headwind to demand growth in the short term.
Turkey will remain a small producer of both oil and gas, with dependence on imported natural gas and crude oil expected to increase to 2028. Oil production will decline to around 36,000b/d in 2028 and gas production will fall to 0.31bcm over the same period.
Renewed US sanctions on Iran and continued depreciation of the Turkish lira pose downside risks to crude oil imports from the country.
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فهرست مطالب
Table of Contents
SWOTOil & Gas SWOTIndustry ForecastUpstream ExplorationUpstream ProjectsUpstream Oil ProductionUpstream Gas ProductionRefiningRefined Fuels ConsumptionGas ConsumptionOil TradeGas TradeIndustry Risk/Reward IndexCEE Upstream Oil & Gas Risk/Reward IndexCEE Downstream Oil & Gas Risk/Reward IndexTurkey Downstream Oil & Gas Risk/Reward IndexMarket OverviewTurkey Energy Market OverviewOil & Gas InfrastructureCompetitive LandscapeCompany ProfileTürkiye Petrolleri Anonim OrtakliğiTüpraşRegional OverviewCEE Oil & Gas Regional OverviewOil & Gas GlossaryOil & Gas Methodology